All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Intro: Steve Hilton is a Republican Brit Running for CA Governor (8:34) Zero Tax Under $100K and a 7.5% Flat Rate: Is It Fiscally Possible? (27:52) Why CA Homes Cost 3x More to Build (Unions, CEQA, and Climate Dogma) (44:50) Why CA Schools Spend the Most but Get the Worst Results (50:02) Crime, Homelessness, and the Failure to Enforce Laws That Already Exist (1:01:34) Can a Republican Actually Win California? Follow Steve: https://x.com/SteveHiltonx Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) SpaceX-Cursor deal, compute as leverage (18:33) SaaS bloodbath, debt bomb incoming, buy the dip? (46:20) New Apple CEO: John Ternus succeeds Tim Cook, what's next for Apple? (1:00:32) SPLC indictment, out of control NGOs (1:19:03) Science Corner: Potential cause discovered for colon cancer spike in young people Apply for Summit 2026: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-21/spacex-says-has-agreement-to-acquire-cursor-for-60-billion https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-02/cursor-recurring-revenue-doubles-in-three-months-to-2-billion https://techcrunch.com/2026/04/17/sources-cursor-in-talks-to-raise-2b-at-50b-valuation-as-enterprise-growth-surges https://polymarket.com/event/will-spacex-acquire-cursor https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-by https://x.com/ttunguz/status/2046815725285945820 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2032201568335044978 https://www.reuters.com/business/thoma-bravo-nears-agreement-turn-software-firm-medallia-over-creditors-source-2026-04-22 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/blackstone-squeezes-thoma-bravo-and-its-ailing-software-company-medallia https://x.com/Benioff/status/2044981547267395620 https://www.apple.com/leadership/john-ternus https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-21/apple-bets-new-ceo-john-ternus-will-bring-back-jobs-era-decisiveness https://polymarket.com/event/next-ceo-of-apple https://x.com/joecarlsonshow/status/2046349686253265302 https://x.com/nickshirleyy/status/2043756610955423782 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/federal-grand-jury-charges-southern-poverty-law-center-wire-fraud-false-statements-and https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1437146/dl https://www.vice.com/en/article/2014-vice-news-awards-the-most-offensive-tweet-ubers-white-privilege https://x.com/nickshirleyy/status/2043756610955423782 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-026-04342-5

(0:00) Bestie intros: Travis Kalanick joins the show! (0:42) Mamdani taxes the rich: new pied-à-terre tax coming to NYC (11:23) OpenAI's identity crisis: Leaked memo, enterprise pivot, Anhropic valuation flip (27:28) Big Tech's compute dominance: How will this impact frontier labs? (33:53) Allbirds stock up over 400% on AI pivot, and what's behind the datacenter disaster? (54:37) The Price is Wrong: Name That Overvalued Startup ROUND 1 (59:23) Eric Swalwell drops out of CA governor race and resigns from Congress: Who knew what and when? Impact of the Democratic Machine (1:10:31) State of the market: Confusing indicators, pricing in Iran peace, AI's mixed results, inflated valuations (1:26:31) The Price is Wrong: Name That Overvalued Startup ROUND 2 Apply for Summit 2026: https://allin.com/events Follow Travis: https://x.com/travisk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.texastribune.org/2025/01/22/austin-texas-rents-falling https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/13/openai-touts-amazon-alliance-in-memo-microsoft-limited-our-ability.html https://polymarket.com/event/gpt-5pt5-released-on https://www.ft.com/content/04ac7917-940b-4606-be5f-9eb895a7d982 https://x.com/RihardJarc/status/2044725910566220095 https://x.com/RoundtableSpace/status/2041897604708233650 https://x.com/chamath/status/2043811625967530056 https://x.com/pmarca/status/2042742413098450998 https://www.reuters.com/business/allbirds-shares-jump-over-400-plans-pivot-ai-sneakers-2026-04-15 https://www.wsj.com/business/data-centers-are-a-gold-rush-for-construction-workers-6e3c5ce0 https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2043520934930239860 https://x.com/APompliano/status/2041946174677217733 https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2041589297489305717 https://www.tmz.com/2026/04/13/tmzdc-staff-starts-today https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/eric-swalwell-drops-bid-california-governor-sexual-misconduct-allegati-rcna277009 https://x.com/great_martis/status/2044454944808571015 https://x.com/GlobalMktObserv/status/2044059352466690501 https://x.com/mattcerminaro/status/2044546097230626819 https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/13/influencers-allegations-eric-swalwell-00869517 https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320 https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1815088017847333273 https://www.npr.org/2024/07/08/nx-s1-5032737/biden-tells-democrats-stop-speculation

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins the show! (4:22) Anthropic blocks Mythos release for security concerns: serious or marketing stunt? (24:07) Are OpenAI and Anthropic trying to kill OpenClaw? Does Anthropic already have market dominance in AI coding? (42:20) Anthropic $30B run rate, fastest revenue ramp ever, the TAM for intelligence (58:01) Major vibe shift: Anthropic ripping, OpenAI reeling (1:10:12) Iran War: Ceasefire, Israel's influence, market impact Apply for Summit 2026: https://allin.com/events Follow Brad: https://x.com/altcap Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INGOC6-LLv0 https://openai.com/index/better-language-models https://cdn.openai.com/better-language-models/language_models_are_unsupervised_multitask_learners.pdf https://x.com/steipete/status/2040811558427648357 https://x.com/juliusai/status/2041292301234999668 https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/IGV:BATS https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-119 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116351998782539414 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116363336033995961 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116365796713313030 https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/politics/trump-iran-war.html https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/03/secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-remarks-to-press-6